There has been undeniable progress made on climate action since the Paris Agreement. Yet we have further to go; it is clear action needs to accelerate. The UN’s recent synthesis report of countries’ Nationally Determined Contributions highlights the ambition gap that exists between where we need to be and where we currently are. COP30 can be a turning point to respond to this need.
A comprehensive package of outcomes that addresses the gaps in ambition and implementation across mitigation, financing, adaptation, and credibility is essential for climate safety, economic stability, and the future direction of global cooperation.
A coherent, credible package encompasses commitments on finance, decarbonisation, resilience, nature and governance. All elements must feature for the package to work; standalone elements will not be sufficient. The outcome should also reinforce Brazil’s priorities, including amplifying diverse voices, advancing implementation, and prioritising nature in the global response.
In this briefing we provide an overview of the key elements for such an outcomes package to address four of the gaps which exist between where we need ambition to be, and the reality of where we are:
- Closing the emissions gap: Shifting to delivery on decarbonisation to address the NDC shortfall, bend the emissions curve and accelerate fossil fuel phase-out.
- Closing the finance gap: Through a clear and politically compelling Baku to Belém Roadmap to $1.3tn coupled with new actions to increase climate finance for developing countries.
- Closing the adaptation and resilience gap: A recognition of adaptation as a priority alongside mitigation, tackling the growing existential and economic risk to countries around the world.
- Closing the governance and credibility gap: Strengthening governance and accountability by evolving and reforming the Paris regime for delivery to secure forward progress to build our future together.
The briefing sets out the political and the coalition and real-world signals we need to see and how these can be reflected in the negotiation outcomes.
