Welcome to E3G’s COP28 live tracker, providing the latest news from Expo City, Dubai. Join us for the latest updates and analysis of the climate negotiations by our experts.
Live tracker
E3G Reacts to the COP28 text agreed today:
You can read E3G’s assessment of the final COP28 text here.
First reactions press conference with WRI
Reactions from E3G experts:
“Champions for a rapid #PhaseOut of #FossilFuel|s – both small island states #SIDS and major economies – have pushed the rest of the world to realise this transition cannot be stopped. But this is only a small first step,” says @TomEvansClimate 👇 pic.twitter.com/bQR7gfaSDD
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 13, 2023
“The proof will be in the delivery—in countries’ next climate plans & the called for transformation of the wider finance system to deliver the economic shifts needed. These are the central tasks from now on the road to Belem at #COP30 in Brazil in 2025,” tells @AlexScottLondon ⤵️ pic.twitter.com/D95xcu2eU6
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 13, 2023
“Initially sidelined, #adaptation ended up playing a key part of the outcome at #COP28. This sends a strong signal that parties must step up efforts to adapt to a changing climate,” urges @AnaMulio 📢 pic.twitter.com/Sl74St10CQ
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 13, 2023
“This #COP28 signals the beginning of the end of the #FossilFuel era, backed by science and boosted by agreements on tripling renewables #x3Renewables and doubling energy efficiency #x2EnergyEfficiency by 2030,” highlights @NushMata ⤵️ #DoubleDownTripleUp pic.twitter.com/zXQpBNULF7
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 13, 2023
@AlexScottLondon praises small island states #SIDS and High Ambition Coalition @HACoalition for their #climate leadership 👏https://t.co/QZAhhgMP2d
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 13, 2023
📢 @AnaMulio highlights the urgent call for developed countries to scale up their support of #adaptation efforts by #ClimateVulnerable countries at #COP28 ⤵️https://t.co/KNoU9BYCgd
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 13, 2023
🌅 Coming out of #COP28, @KateLLevick is looking forward to more momentum around #FinanceReform into 2024 👇https://t.co/q7Glz8sytz
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 13, 2023
“@COP28_UAE ends with incremental not transformational progress,” opines @Mabeytweet while being optimistic about the momentum and calling for more reform of #MDB|s and full delivery of #JETP|s ⤵️ #ParisAligned #ClimateFinance #EnergyTransitionhttps://t.co/PO9ulLhxy7
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 13, 2023
More reaction from E3G experts:
Post-#COP28: @larissaogross unpacks what needs to happen next for global #x2EnergyEfficiency and #x3Renewables targets 👇👇👇https://t.co/Awvv8CPS9P
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 13, 2023
@laurasabogal shares some thoughts on the #COP28‘s #ClimateFinance outcome 💭👇https://t.co/8ciPmbRNkA
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 13, 2023
E3G’s Tom Evans quoted in Nikkei Asia talking about Samoa’s reservations about the COP28 agreement:
“The final #COP28 decision will stand and #Samoa 🇼🇸 has made clear their unhappiness with this deal on the basis that it is not ambitious enough,” tells @TomEvansClimate in @NikkeiAsia on the major concern expressed by the @AOSISChair 👇https://t.co/4c0QIHZiUe
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 13, 2023
E3G’s Alden Meyer stresses the need for the agreement to followed by action in Associated Press piece:
“All the declarations, all the decisions, all the platitudes, all the announcements in the 🌐, if it doesn’t translate into real world action that reduces emissions, is not worth the paper it’s written on,” stresses @aldenmeyer on post-#COP28‘s delivery: https://t.co/k8gaE1fk1V
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 13, 2023
Today’s coal fact:
To limit global warming to 1.5°C, we must
—phase out fossil fuels, especially #coal,
—triple global RE capacity, and
—double the rate of energy efficiency.Delay in these steps means heightened #LossAndDamage, pushing human and natural systems to their brink. #LaterIsTooLate pic.twitter.com/kWETN0mA1P
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 12, 2023
Low-ball on ambition: E3G’s key takeaways on latest Global Stocktake draft text
Read our latest comments on the draft GST text released yesterday.
Reactions to the draft text from E3G experts, Tom Evans and Alden Meyer, quoted in the UK Guardian and Reuters:
“What we now need to see are those countries who are really pushing for ambition rallying together, and trying to flush out and isolate the people who are holding this text back,” said @TomEvansClimate reacting to yesterday’s #GlobalStocktake draft text.https://t.co/vgwY5nxTnv
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 12, 2023
🚨 “The new deal is basically an a la carte menu that allows countries to individually choose what they want to do,” criticises @aldenmeyer in @Reuters on the latest draft of #COP28 agreement 👇https://t.co/ND7ZOyLwM8
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 12, 2023
Comments on the draft GST text from E3G’s Ana Mulio Alvarez and Pieter de Pous, about Loss and Damage and the language used in the draft:
For #COP28 to truly deliver on Loss and Damage, the new GST iteration should:
✅ Include L&D in the preamble, finance, cross-cutting, and way forward sections.
✅ Create a standing L&D agenda item.
✅ Urge for scaling finance for L&D.
✅ Call for a L&D Gap Report. https://t.co/30GEgmpyAu— Ana Mulio Alvarez (@AnaMulio) December 12, 2023
Key point here is that ‘prescribing action’ was perfectly acceptable to all at COP26 when it came to coal
The only thing that changed since is that this would now affect oil and gas too.
Pushing back against this on principle is however not credible https://t.co/RYzEZ56J5g
— Pieter de Pous (@Pieter_de_Pous) December 12, 2023
More comment on the draft GST text from E3G’s Ana Mulio Alvarez and Larissa Gross, on the need for more emphasis on energy efficiency, and adaptation finance.
On Adaptation, the GST should create a solid pathway to mobilize more finance beyond the doubling goal. Adaptation Finance is shaping up to be a key part of the #COP28 package, it must be delivered to protect those most vulnerable. https://t.co/9NcDcwZb1s
— Ana Mulio Alvarez (@AnaMulio) December 12, 2023
44/ Emphasis on #Efficiency missing from latest GST text even though this is the first and cheapest fuel.
Efficiency will be critical to all countries for:
💡 expanding energy access
🎯 hitting emissions targets
✅ enhancing energy security
🏡 lowering bills@Mission_EE https://t.co/BIsAzi4U6u— Larissa Gross (@larissaogross) December 12, 2023
E3G’s Katrine Tilgaard Petersen, Senior Policy Advisor in the Fossil Fuel Transition team, quoted in Energy Monitor:
🏭 “There are lots of countries and #FossilFuel industry bodies that are really promoting the narrative that it is not the fossil fuels that have to be phased out, it is just their emissions” explains @_KatPetersen how this approach is problematic 👇👇👇https://t.co/oYHCvtdwND
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 12, 2023
Today’s coal fact:
Generating power from burning #FossilFuel, esp. #coal, is a major driver of GHG emissions. Govts must rapidly phase out coal in line w/ 1.5C. @IPCC highlights: the electricity sector has the highest mitigation potential by 2050 (73%), w/ solar & wind as the most feasible options. pic.twitter.com/xwEoLdxniC
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 11, 2023
E3G’s Laura Sabogal Reyes on what the Excutive Director of the IEA, Fatih Birol, is saying about what’s needed from COP28:
As @COP28_UAE negotiators prepare for another day of tough discussions @fbirol states the numbers loud and clearly!#COP28 must deliver by laying the groundwork for #phasingout fossil fuels (besides 3x renewables ⚡️♻️, 2x efficiency and ⬇️ methane!) https://t.co/7NHMEMwZPn
— Laura Sabogal (@laurasabogal) December 11, 2023
Event today: A call for urgent climate action: a civil society dialogue between China, Europe & the US:
China, EU and US discussion on progress made around climate, including support to low-income countries.
Time: 14:00 – 17.20 GST
Venue: Multimedia Hall, China-UAE Econony & Trade Exchange Center, Green Zone
E3G’s Ana Mulio Alvarez and Lisa Fischer were quoted in an Associated Press article on the sticking points remaining at COP28:
“The new draft presents the skeleton of what could be a reasonable framework on how to adapt to climate change,” says @AnaMulio while emphasising that the required support from developed countries to developing countries for delivery wasn’t in the draft 👇https://t.co/Ir1wtOqWcm
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 11, 2023
Ana Mulio Alvarez is also quoted in the Times of India in an article on the draft Global Goal on Adaptation:
“Without robust means of implementation, the framework will remain hollow and toothless,” tells @AnaMulio in @timesofindia about the Global Goal on #Adaptation framework referring to the latest draft text. 👇https://t.co/c0eR4OxiX8https://t.co/T2DNdnjVK9https://t.co/CVXG5ms7bP
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 11, 2023
Support networks for countries phasing out fossil fuels:
Lisa Fischer leads E3G’s efforts to drive the changes needed across regulation, infrastructure and finance for the decarbonisation of the energy system. Here’s a thread on the support network for countries wanting to phase out fossil fuels.
#fossilfuel phaseout by 2050 is firmly on the agenda at #COP28. An unambiguous signal now helps countries, communities & businesses plan the transition.
Here’s a review of the patchy but growing public support system that countries can access to phase out fossil fuels. Short🧵
— LisaFischer (@FactFisching) December 7, 2023
More from E3G’s Lisa Fischer at the first section of the ‘Global Emission Gap and Climate Action Stocktake’ event at COP28:
Couldn’t be a bigger screen with which @_neil_grant is showing us how fast we must be phasing out #fossilfuels. #COP28 https://t.co/47NJcRFceQ pic.twitter.com/XRGUnFpVAk
— LisaFischer (@FactFisching) December 11, 2023
@larissaogross spotlights positive momentum happening at @COP28_UAE around the realities of phasing out fossil fuels—recorded by @catabreu_ 👀👇https://t.co/UmEqOVYMNU
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 11, 2023
A new commission to look into solutions on debt, especially to fund climate transition and nature:
🇨🇴 Minister @susanamuhamad launched today alongside 🇫🇷🇰🇪 a commission for an expert review on solutions to address debt barriers to fiscal space for just climate transitions and development—@AlexScottLondon reporting on the ground at #COP28 👇👇👇https://t.co/HOqMWrDoAS
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 11, 2023
Inflation and COP28 pledges:
A thread on the impact of high inflation on renewables and energy efficiency pledges, from E3G’s Ysanne Choksey, policy advisor in the fossil fuel transition team.
Summary here of the threat high interest rates pose to tripling RES/doubling EE and early retirement of fossil fuel assets. This can’t be a reason to slow down, but needs to be factored into policy decisions going forward. https://t.co/falqjkVfEU
— Ysanne Choksey (@YFChoksey) December 11, 2023
Climate finance: the role of developing countries
E3G’s Byford Tsang unpacks why developing countries are some of the biggest contributors to climate finance in a guest blog for The Carbon Briefing.
E3G’s reaction to the latest GST text
📑 Our experts are currently analysing the latest iteration of the GST text and the GGA text, and we will share our detailed analysis shortly.
Here are our rapid reaction quotes:
🧑💼Tom Evans, E3G Policy Advisor, on the GST said:
“The Global Stocktake should be a shared action plan to realise our dream of meeting the Paris Agreement. Instead, this text is a nightmare of weak proposals and internal contradictions: asking to keep 1.5C in reach on the one hand, while on the other setting out no common pathway for phasing out fossil fuels fast. This is not a credible response to the crisis we are in. The Presidency needs to do a fundamental rethink. The text needs considerable strengthening to pass the bar of ambition. We’ve seen from past COPs that this is an uphill battle. The next 17 hours must see the champions of ambition rally hard and isolate those who are holding ambition back.”
👩💼 Ana Mulio Alvarez, E3G Researcher, on the GG said:
“It is a positive signal that finance and other means of implementation apply to the dimensional targets, but it is concerning to see that targets have weakened and the roadmap to doubling adaptation finance has disappeared. The proposed text also does not establish an ongoing agenda item for the GGA. Unfortunately, it does not seem that this text sets us up to deliver the level of transformational and incremental adaptation action required. Parties could improve this text by making targets more quantitative and setting a pathway to mobilise finance and action.”
E3G experts are available for background, comment and analysis from Dubai. Please contact our press team at press@e3g.org or +44 (0)7783 787 863, or reach out to E3G experts directly – contact details further down this page.
More reaction from E3G experts on X/Twitter below.
E3G’s Larissa Gross noted the reaction of the Alliance of Small Island States to the draft Global Stocktake Text:
39/ Beyond efficiency, important to hear voice of @AOSISChair who calls the new text ‘completely insufficient’. https://t.co/kTCEsdy4yz
— Larissa Gross (@larissaogross) December 11, 2023
Reaction from E3G experts to the draft Global Stocktake text released today
E3G’s Larissa Gross, Camilla Fenning and Chris Littlecott, on what the text means, especially for 2x energy efficiency pledges and for coal phase out.
38/ What does this mean for #2xEfficiency?
Doubling still there but:
🙁 ‘by 2030’ ambiguous, leaves room for low ambition before 2030
☹️ removal of 4% yearly target makes baseline unclear
😖 now one of a menu of options rather than a package of critical actions@Mission_EE— Larissa Gross (@larissaogross) December 11, 2023
Disappointing draft #mitigation #GST text @COP28_UAE.
COP Parties are there to negotiate an outcome. Anyone can come up with a list. pic.twitter.com/35qpLaUx1s— Camilla Fenning (@CamillaFenning) December 11, 2023
The proposed GST text on coal is poor. The overall framing of ‘could include’ weakens all elements. The phasing down language reframes COP26&27 text, but now optional. The new language about ‘limitations on permitting’ increases scope but with no meaningful bite. Not good enough! https://t.co/QDYUUNW1zH
— Chris Littlecott (@chrislittlecott) December 11, 2023
E3G’s Lisa Fischer noted the lukewarm response from the US:
US not happy with the text either #COP28.https://t.co/KIs8349POr pic.twitter.com/Jbj2yIk8fj
— LisaFischer (@FactFisching) December 11, 2023
And E3G’s Pieter de Pous has picked up on a tweet from a former COP President:
From a previous COP President who successfully led the difficult negotiations that concluded in a global commitment to phase down coal, a basis this new draft text even fails to build on https://t.co/Q2h6AN5Gwc
— Pieter de Pous (@Pieter_de_Pous) December 11, 2023
Reaction from the Global Renewables Alliance to the draft Global Stocktake text:
“The GRA welcomes the inclusion of tripling renewables by 2030 in the draft text, but is deeply concerned about the optionality around the entire energy transition package.”
Read our full reaction to the latest draft of the #COP28 final text. https://t.co/aa3hOZ25Q2 pic.twitter.com/QbSlYScKab
— Global Renewables Alliance (@GRA_Renewables) December 11, 2023
Updated GST and GGA text – key takeaways
🪫 Overall, this text comes across as a *“low ball on ambition”*. This package would not act as a credible response to the gaps revealed by the Global Stocktake and latest IPCC science. We’ve seen a level of ambition over the last 12 days that is clearly not reflected in this text. This version will smoke out the high ambition pushes from parties and force all to reveal their true positions.
🔎 After a day of private consultations, we now need to see transparency. At Plenary and in the coming hours we must hear what Parties say – we need the ambition champions on both developed and developing country sides to rally hard and put those who are holding this text back on the spot.
👩💼 Lisa Fischer, E3G Programme Lead, said on energy:
“There is no collective commitment to any component, and this is the priority issue to fix, as it makes this text completely out of line with 1.5°C. This leaves parties to pick and choose – and they may choose nothing. This sets us back on what was agreed in Glasgow and in Sharm El Sheikh, where we had a collective commitment on advancing coal phase down and clean energy. Also, while the options cover most important themes, each of them need strengthening – in particular on fossil fuels, renewables, efficiency, and abatement.”
👩💼 Laura Sabogal Reyes, E3G Senior Policy Advisor, said on finance:
“This iteration of the text loses the direction of travel about how to increase much-needed concessional and grant finance. This is supposed to be an implementation COP, but this text stops at setting the scene around how much money is needed. It acknowledges the gap of adaptation finance, and loss and damage, but fails to provide solutions. We need to see clear, sustainable and predictable sources of finance to scale up much-needed concessional and grant finance. The COP presidency has a key opportunity to build on the existing political momentum for international finance reform that it has squandered so far.”
👩💼 Ana Mulio Alvarez, E3G Researcher, said on adaptation:
“The text on adaptation remains weak and unclear in the latest GST iteration. The placeholder for GGA targets should include the request for developed country Parties to provide developing country Parties support of progress towards the targets as established in para 33 of the latest iteration. On finance, the text deletes the request to the Standing Committee on Finance for the establishment of a roadmap to double adaptation finance, while noting that the estimated needs of adaptation are now approximately 10–18 times as much as international public adaptation finance flows, and growing.”
E3G experts are available for background, comment and analysis from Dubai. Please contact our press team at press@e3g.org or +44 (0)7783 787 863, or reach out to E3G experts directly – contact details further down this page.
Here’s our summary of the day:
Here’s our summary of the final full day at #COP28 👇
– 🇨🇴Colombia, 🇰🇪Kenya and 🇫🇷France launch expert review of debt, #nature and #climate
-Draft #GST text drops, prompting calls for more ambition#GlobalStocktake #ClimateAction #COP28UAE pic.twitter.com/7xGKVfPRR0— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 11, 2023
Updated GGA text published this morning – key takeaways
The GGA draft text has been re-uploaded due to missing words in the version released earlier this morning. Here is the most up-to-date version.
🎯 The Global Goal on Adaptation framework is a tool for Parties, communities and stakeholders to enhance adaptive capacity, strengthen resilience and reduce vulnerability to climate change, as well as reviewing progress made towards achieving these goals.
📄 After two years of technical workshops through the Glasgow-Sharm el-Sheikh work programme, a week of intense negotiations at COP28 with two failed text iterations, and a full day of ministerial and technical consultations yesterday, a new GGA draft text was published this morning.
🧐 What does this new text look like?
The good:
✅ There is an option to frame the GGA within the Paris Agreement principles including equity and CBDR-RC.
✅ Sets up a work program to further develop targets and indicators.
✅ Includes goals (although no specific targets) around themes such as water, food, agriculture and health.
The bad:
❌ No clear Means of Implementation language (MoI), including no MoI in dimensions or targets.
❌ No clear language on finance beyond the doubling of adaptation finance goal.
❌ No establishment of a standing agenda item for the GGA.
⏳ We expect bilateral consultations to continue today with a meeting in the afternoon for textual suggestions. The Presidency remains determined to publish a final draft of the complete package by tomorrow, December 11th so that COP28 can end as scheduled at 11am on the 12th.
👩💼Ana Mulio Alvarez, Researcher for Adaptation and Loss and Damage at E3G, said:
“This new iteration presents the skeleton of what could be a reasonable framework for the Global Goal on Adaptation. However, without robust means of implementation, including means of implementation targets, the framework will remain hollow and toothless. To really serve as a tool for global transformative adaptation efforts, the GGA requires developed countries to provide support to developing countries for implementation.”
E3G experts are available for background, comment and analysis from Dubai. Please contact our press team at press@e3g.org or +44 (0)7783 787 863, or reach out to E3G experts directly – contact details further down this page.
E3G’s Ana Mulio Alvarez explains what the GGA text is and why is it so important
💡Finally under the spotlight, the Global Goal on Adaptation (GGA) seems to have taken COP28 by storm. But what is the GGA and why is it so important? 👇🏻
The GGA framework is meant to be a tool for stakeholders to:
⚙️enhance adaptive capacity;
⚙️reduce vulnerability to climate change;
⚙️review progress made towards achieving these goals.
💫 Launching this framework would demonstrate that the climate system is fit to provide solutions across the objectives of the Paris Agreement.
📏 An impactful GGA framework would be focused on measurable action but also provide support through Means of Implementation (MoI) and a clear path for work moving forward, including the development of indicators by UNFCCC experts by 2030.
💪🏻 An ambitious GGA framework would include purpose, principles, dimensions, themes, cross-cutting considerations, sources, targets on dimensions including MoIs, targets on themes, indicators and further work with mandates to guide the implementation. A strong GGA outcome would create a strong signal for adaptation finance and serve as a⭐️north star for allocation and mobilisation of adaptation finance.
💵 Finance, technology and capacity building play a key role in the framework and thus, cannot be left behind.
🌎 The GGA is not only mandated by the UNFCCC, but an opportunity for meaningful adaptation efforts to come to fruition and support those most vulnerable who are already suffering the impacts of climate change.
🤝 As the COP28 Presidency and the Adaptation ministerial pair lead on this process now, we hope they will be able to gather consensus and deliver on this important mandate.
More information available on this document produced by Arg1.5.com.
Watch the E3G ‘Week 2’ press call.
Our on-the-record virtual briefing assessing recent developments and what to expect in the last few days of COP28.
Watch here
Event tomorrow: A call for urgent climate action: a civil society dialogue between China, Europe & the US
#COP28 event tomorrow:
A call for urgent #ClimateAction: a civil society dialogue between 🇨🇳China 🇪🇺Europe & 🇺🇸US discussing progress made on #climate, including support to low-income countries.Multimedia Hall, China-UAE Econ. & Trade Exchange Center, Green Zone. 2pm GST👇 pic.twitter.com/du8a4SyBrO
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 10, 2023
E3G’s @chrislittlecott unpacks the history of #abatement in this thread for #COP28 👇https://t.co/q0UwSMGCCS
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 10, 2023
Today’s coal fact (click to animate):
Momentum grows for #NoNewCoal at #COP28, as Morocco joins @PastCoal. 60 out of 75 governments that have formally committed to NNC are now @PastCoal members. Plus, 🇰🇭 has decided to cancel its last remaining pre-construction #coal project and become pipeline-free🎉 #CoalFact pic.twitter.com/3uPGRTBR9M
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 9, 2023
📄 Yesterday’s second iteration of the draft COP28 decisions on the global stocktake strengthened some points but left much work for ministers to do to avoid ‘no text’ options (see below for more analysis).
👀 Most negotiations will happen in bilateral consultations today with an informal plenary scheduled by the Presidency for 8pm. The Annual High-level Ministerial Roundtable on pre-2030 ambition will be one to watch for the cases made for COP28 decisions as well as proof (or otherwise) of real policy change countries are implementing.
🔦 A leaked letter from OPEC to 13 member states warning them to push back against COP decisions on fossil fuel phaseout puts this key policy move in the spotlight.
🗣 AOSIS and AILAC negotiators were particularly vocal in Friday night’s Heads of Delegation meeting on the urgency for a COP decision on fossil fuel phase out. Watch Samoa’s and Colombia’s ministers in particular today.
📱 German foreign minister Baerbock is another one to watch – her tweet making the case for decisions on phasing out all fossil fuels, not just their emissions was retweeted by the COP28 Presidency.
🤝 Finally, Canadian Environment and Climate Change Minister Steven Guilbeaut announced yesterday he’s been tasked to find common ground on a fossil fuel phase out decision as well as running consultations on finance with his Egyptian counterpart.
💻 Join E3G experts today at 17:00 GST/ 13:00 GMT / 14:00 CET / 08:00 EST sharing their analysis of the current state of play and the next steps to a positive outcome. Sign up here
Updated GST draft text – key takeaways
📄 The latest version of the ‘building blocks’ for the Global Stocktake decision helps move the conversation forward. Overall, there are still lots of options on the table – but how Parties react to it will be decisive in evolving this into a proper draft text that’s ready for the final showdown.
🧑💼 Commenting on the text, Tom Evans, E3G Policy Advisor, said:
“These building blocks give us what we need to construct a global action plan centred around phasing out fossil fuels with renewable energy, and scaling up finance for developing countries. The architects of ambition now must assemble. They can defend and refine the strongest options on the table and push back on the weak proposals peppered throughout the paper. The next 48 hours will be decisive.”
The good:
✅ New near-term signals on the energy package, with a call for parties “to take action this critical decade’
✅ Strengthened option on RES/EE ties increased RES capacity to fossil fuel displacement
✅ Fossil fuel phase out (no mention of phase down) + new options specifically mentioning 2050 in line with “best available science” /1.5 degrees
✅ Improved fossil fuel subsidies language with unhelpful wording on ‘inefficient’ removed
✅ Calls for more ambitious NDCs by 2025
✅ Push to deliver more country platforms for climate finance
✅ Robust political process to deliver this through to COP30
The bad:
❌ Mention of ‘transitional’ fuels – code for fossil gas
❌ Abatement language is still in, with no definition to close loopholes
❌ Stronger language required on energy finance and differentiated responsibilities
❌ Option on scaling up low emissions technologies promotes dangerous distractions and risks locking in overshoot
❌ More needed on adaptation finance
E3G experts are available for background, comment and analysis from Dubai. Please contact our press team at press@e3g.org or +44 (0)7783 787 863, or reach out to E3G experts directly – contact details further down this page.
Event today at COP28 and livestream:
Panel discussion on Multilateral and National Development Banks climate finance flows and climate mainstreaming.
16:00 – 18:00 GST (21:00 – 23:00 GMT) – livestream link: https://www.idfc.org/cop28idfc/
There will also be a presentation of the report co-authored by E3G and the Climate Policy Initiative: Enhancing MDB and NDB Cooperation.
Join us at #COP28 today for a discussion on MDB-NDB #ClimateFinance flows & climate mainstreaming, and presentation of the report: Enhancing #MDB and #NDB Cooperation. With @IDFC_NetworkPavilion & @climatepolicy
4pm – 6pm GST, IDFC Pavilion + livestream👇https://t.co/c2ilo5tGlg
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 9, 2023
E3G’s Camilla Fenning quoted in an article asking if all nations will benefit from a renewable energy surge:
E3G’s @CamillaFenning in @ContextNewsroom “growing agreement to boost #renewables demonstrated in part how more developing countries see additional benefits in making the energy swap-better health with less pollution & greater access to affordable energy”👉https://t.co/BpUBK7aqig
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 9, 2023
From E3G founding co-CEO Nick Mabey:
Wonderful to see Morocco join PPCA @PastCoal campaign to phase out coal
Morocco has amazing renewable energy resources which underpin a green industry plan on EVs, H2 and power exports.
But it needs help to unwind its old coal power contracts https://t.co/b9hC1KdFZi
— Nick Mabey (@Mabeytweet) December 9, 2023
E3G’s Larissa Gross has been at the Mission Efficiency press conference:
35/ Recap of #2xEfficiency Press Conference:
🇰🇪 to host @IEA Summit on #efficiency in 2024
💷 @MetrusEnergy doubles investment to $400 million
💡@CLASPappliances highlights 10 #NetZero heroes
🌐@BCSECleanEnergy welcomes dozens to @Mission_EE— Larissa Gross (@larissaogross) December 9, 2023
From Byford Tsang, who leads E3G’s work on EU-China climate diplomacy
Latest from China’s climate envoy – China supports efforts to 3x global renewable & fossil fuel phase-out à la Sunnylands – “accelerate the substitution for coal, oil and gas generation… anticipate post-peaking meaningful absolute power sector emission reduction” in the 2020s. https://t.co/5jbVm5ULY5
— Byford Tsang (@byfordt) December 9, 2023
What is the Global Goal on Adaptation, and why is it important?
E3G’s @AnaMulio explains what the Global Goal on Adaptation is and why is it important 🧵👇 https://t.co/H1irU8eBmN
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 9, 2023
Here’s our summary of today at COP28:
Here’s our summary of today at #COP28, with Morocco joining @PastCoal, and the @HACoalition calling for #FossilFuelPhaseOut along with other countries, including 🇩🇪🇸🇪.⤵️#COP28UAE #FossilFuels #Coal #ClimateAction pic.twitter.com/fTTLlx1LYc
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 9, 2023
Today’s coal fact:
The transition to #CleanEnergy is expected to create millions of new jobs, while the #coal industry is projected to shed millions. #CoalFact#COP28 #Skills #Education #GreenJobs pic.twitter.com/KjktCLeo8w
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 8, 2023
🤔 With 5 days left at COP28, what does the route to an ambitious outcome look like?
📣 Today at 10am the UAE will announce the pairs of ministers they’ve asked to help find solutions on the tricky issues. These politicians will be crucial in finding the landing zones – especially on the Global Stocktake. In the run up to Dubai, Denmark and South Africa were the twosome tasked with taking this on.
🗣 The landing zone for a GST decision will be defined by the loudest champions for a strong outcome. What’s said by the small islands and members of the High Ambition Coalition – like Chile, Colombia, France and Kenya – will set the bar.
🚂 The key players – including the EU, USA, Brazil, India and China – will have to show their hand. A consultation on the GST among Heads of Delegation is currently scheduled for 5pm. Countries need to make a choice – get on board the ambition train, or get left behind on the platform?
⚖ If a critical mass of countries can coalesce around a package of phasing out fossil fuels, underpinned by a big deal on finance for both mitigation and adaptation, then the UAE may well feel the balance of the scales tip in favour of ambition.
👀 In that scenario, the fiercest opponents to a fossil fuel phase out – Russia and Saudi Arabia come to mind – may simply have no choice but to begrudgingly go along with it. The world will be watching closely to see if they play games with the negotiations and seek to obstruct this eventuality.
So it’s all to play for – and E3G will be on hand to explain what’s happening every step of the way.
🎥 Tune in to hear E3G’s policy experts share rapid analysis of the current state of play, and next steps to positive outcomes. in E3G’s COP28 Week 2 media briefing, tomorrow at 17:00 GST / 13:00 GMT / 14:00 CET / 08:00 EST. Register here
E3G experts are available for background, comment and analysis from Dubai. Please contact our press team at press@e3g.org or +44 (0)7783 787 863, or reach out to E3G experts directly – contact details further down this page.
Climate and Development Ministerial Signing Moment
Following the 2023 climate and development ministerial during pre-COP, join us for the launch of the Coalition of Ambition vision and goals. Today, 17:30 – 19:00 GST, Expo City Blue Zone, Moana Blue Pacific pavilion.
Find out more about Coalition of Ambition on Adaptation Finance.
RSVP: cdm@iied.org
E3G’s Larissa Gross continues to track countries pledging to double the rate of energy efficiency gains, and triple renewables capacity year on year.
You can follow her thread here.
30/ 🇬🇭 taking the lead and supporting @Mission_EE Call to Action!
Kofi Agyarko of @CommissionGhana
Calls on all Parties to back the #2xEfficiency and #3xRenewables Pledge.A great champion of energy efficiency for access especially on appliances and #cooling! @ActOnCooling https://t.co/euDxV7XTvj
— Larissa Gross (@larissaogross) December 8, 2023
Rino Sugioka from E3G’s Fossil Fuel Transition team has been following the Energy Transition Council at COP28:
E3G supported the 8th #EnergyTransitionCouncil at #COP28 . Great to hear #EnergyTransitionCouncil partner countries support #3xRenewables & #2xEnergyEfficiency 👏 https://t.co/FXy8BRY29K
— Rino Sugioka (@RinoSugioka) December 8, 2023
From Maria Pastukhova, Senior Policy Officer in E3G’s Berlin office:
@COP28 #Nuclear pledge is among those least needed. The current project pipeline already leads to 2,4 times increase in nuclear capacity or 900GW by 2050: more than in @IEA‘s NZE scenario.
3x #renewables by 2030 must be the core focus, as RES pipeline is nowhere near that target. https://t.co/MQ0c0xoLQU— Maria Pastukhova (@Energy_in_Asia) December 8, 2023
E3G’s Larissa Gross on the latest draft Global Stocktake text:
32/ 🚨 new draft GST text out!#2xEfficiency and #3xRenewables still there, with a new option making clear this duo will displace fossil fuels.
📢@IEA shows we need a doubling of efficiency improvements *every year* this decade to be on track for net zero. @Mission_EE https://t.co/Eo2raTIw73
— Larissa Gross (@larissaogross) December 8, 2023
Here’s our summary of today at COP28:
Here's our summary of today at #COP28:
-Updated #GlobalStocktake text
-Call for 'no new investments on fossil fuel infrastructure' from @AOSISChair
–@CDMinisterial launch vision for adaptation finance reform.#COP28UAE #FossilFuels #Adaptation #ClimateAction pic.twitter.com/5SKosTLwlz— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 8, 2023
Today is a rest day at COP28, so a good opportunity to reflect on the first week. Here’s our take on week one:
As we bid farewell to week one of COP28, the stakes are higher than ever. Leaders’ political signals in the early days left an ambitious set of marching orders for negotiators to craft into COP decision texts. And new commitments on powering past coal and pledges to the loss and damage fund demonstrated a baseline level of real action.
Traditionally, only the most challenging issues would remain for the ministers to grapple with in week two. However, this year a multitude of crucial matters remain unresolved.
The Global Goal on Adaptation has emerged as a major concern as so far negotiators have made minimal progress despite hours of deliberation. Ministers will need to raise the conversation from the depths of indicators and dimensions to set up a playbook for accelerating resilience preparedness. The Global Stocktake response will be the critical negotiation where fossil fuel phase out, a renewable energy and energy efficiency revolution, a new direction for mobilising climate finance, and high standards for governments’ next climate plans due in 2025 all still hang in the balance.
The pressure is on the UAE Presidency to guide delegates through the upcoming challenges, and ensure transparency and inclusivity, particularly of smaller climate vulnerable states who mustn’t be sidelined from the final deal-making.
Further analysis from the E3G team:
Financing the transition requires systemic change and starts now
The COP28 Presidency’s Climate Finance Framework is a multifaceted approach to climate-related finance. It offers the opportunity to build a truly global coalition of support, and shape the way that future global finance goals are defined.
By Kate Levick
COP28: phases, progress and potential for the energy transition
Recap last week’s momentum for scaling clean energy and phasing out fossil fuels and how it can be channelled into GST discussions around phase out/phase down, abatement technologies, clean energy ambition, and energy finance.
By Camilla Fenning, Lisa Fischer and Larissa Gross
UK at COP28: government must align domestic and international ambition
The stance Rishi Sunak has taken on climate domestically has hamstrung his ability to exert influence on the global stage. The UK’s leaders need to grasp the opportunity of COP28 to define the UK’s direction on climate.
By Joe Dillon
E3G’s Lisa Fischer ‘s thread assessing week one at COP28:
#fossilfuel phaseout by 2050 is firmly on the agenda at #COP28. An unambiguous signal now helps countries, communities & businesses plan the transition.
Here’s a review of the patchy but growing public support system that countries can access to phase out fossil fuels. Short thread:
— LisaFischer (@FactFisching) December 7, 2023
E3G’s Larissa Gross has been following events in her COP28 thread:
28/ Week 1 closing with 125 countries signed up to #2xEfficiency and #3xRenewables!
Great momentum into week 2 for @COP28_UAE text that reflects an ambitious energy package…
🎯👀@Mission_EE @GRA_Renewables @e3g @AEEE_India @ToSaveEnergy @dkClimateAmb @WBHoekstra https://t.co/XkNMACnPXM
— Larissa Gross (@larissaogross) December 6, 2023
Today’s coal fact:
🌎🌍🌏 The world must move away from coal rapidly to stay within the 1.5°C trajectory ‼️
🔝 Developed economies should take the lead in a #CoalPhaseOut by 2030, setting a precedent for the rest of the 🌐 to follow suit by 2040. #CoalFacts pic.twitter.com/IQLyTEAGaz
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 7, 2023
Week 1
Today’s coal fact:
🏁🏃🏾 The speed of deploying renewables are outpacing that of generating electricity ⚡️ from coal. In 2022, renewable energy sources accounted for > 8️⃣0️⃣% of new global electricity capacity additions.
© Source: @IRENA #CoalFacts pic.twitter.com/n5fQBCVu9I— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 6, 2023
😮💨 It’s the final day of Week 1. Usually at this stage in a COP negotiators agree as much as they can, and only pass a handful of the most difficult political problems into Week 2. That’s when ministers will show up to solve them.
🌍 But at COP28, it’s looking like almost all of the big issues are still in play. The Global Goal on Adaptation is quickly becoming one of the big worries of Dubai. Last night tensions were flaring in the adaptation negotiations, with hours of talks going nowhere.
📄 That’s only adding to the to-do list for ministers, who will need to spend time and energy on the Global Stocktake. More talks continue at 10am. Essentially everything is still at stake – so the big fights are still ahead.
🎱 With 6 days of talks down and little to show for it, the gaze turns to the UAE Presidency who will take the reins from here. How they’ll handle it is anyone’s guess. Let’s hope that in their back pocket they’ve got a plan to carry the COP package over the finish line.
From E3G’s Lisa Fischer, Programme Lead, on hydrogen fuel-cell car sales in decline
7/ another addition to #hydrogenhittingreality from the transport sector – fuel cell cars really not going anywhere. via @colinmckerrache https://t.co/xEAtLkjyeF pic.twitter.com/LjdrfSdwiz
— LisaFischer (@FactFisching) December 6, 2023
E3G’s Laura Sabogal Reyes speaking at an International Development Finance Club on Public Development Banks:
Today’s theme is on multilevel action. At #COP28IDFC event, @laurasabogal showcases the role of public development banks #PDB—incl. multilateral & national dev banks—in contributing to the achievement of #ParisAgreement.
🆕 report: https://t.co/NZUm1jcN8ohttps://t.co/Yopkrb9bT8
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 6, 2023
From E3G’s Lead for EU Sustainable Finance, Jurei Yada:
🏘️ Reporting on the built environment sector at #COP28UAE, @JureiYada attends the launch of the #BuildingsBreakthrough initiative which aims to ensure near zero emission and resilient buildings are the new normal by 2030 👇👇👇https://t.co/5L4SYdirdt
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 6, 2023
From E3G’s Kate Levick, Associate Director for Sustainable Finance:
📣 Joining a @ndcpartnership event at #COP28, @KateLLevick reports on the new developments of the Mitigation Action Facility—a grant-based multi-donor fund focusing on 3⃣ priority sectors (energy, #transport & industry) ⤵️https://t.co/Z5KJkAsB7s
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 6, 2023
E3G’s Larissa Gross and Byford Tsang tweet about the launch of the Buildings Breakthrough earlier:
27/ More tailwind for #2xEfficiency with 🇫🇷🇲🇦 @Join_GlobalABC launching #BuildingsBreakthrough @COP28_UAE
✅ 28 countries including 🇺🇸🇰🇪🇨🇦🇨🇳
✅ Buildings and Climate Ministerial set for March 2024 in 🇫🇷🥁to 2030 with #Buildings in the lead.@Mission_EE @e3g @heatpolicyrich https://t.co/iLeFXrCBru
— Larissa Gross (@larissaogross) December 6, 2023
China joining international decarbonisation initiative on low-carbon buildings, spearheded by France and Morocco. It was first announced during the Xi-Macron call last month:https://t.co/YSMOCb4B3h https://t.co/Pf1QOnKmBy
— Byford Tsang (@byfordt) December 6, 2023
Today at COP28:
Today saw the launch of the France/Morocco led #BuildingsBreakthrough – #renewable #netzero buildings by 2030, 🇩🇪 unveiled its climate strategy, and 3x #renewables and 2x #energyefficiency pledges keep coming!
Keep up to date with our #COP28 tracker: https://t.co/00X6FAv5FF pic.twitter.com/DxcANGtw6j— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 6, 2023
Today’s coal fact:
Momentum continues to grow for #NoNewCoal, as new members join @PastCoal today. 75 governments are now committed to no new coal + 25 countries are no longer pursuing coal projects + 13 have signed the Renewables & Energy Efficiency Pledge. #EnergyDay #COP28 #CoalFacts pic.twitter.com/kLR7rnC6TO
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 5, 2023
💡 Energy Day – what to expect 💡
🔊 The last few days have seen growing noise on fossil fuel phase out, with visible progress on coal outside the formal negotiations. Leaders, businesses and civil society have been sending clear messages calling for fossil fuel phase out language in the final text.
💬 Pushing back on media portrayal of his fossil fuel comments over the weekend, COP28 President Al Jaber reiterated his earlier statement that a fossil fuel phase down is “inevitable” and “essential” and highlighted that this is the first COP presidency ever to actively call on parties to come forward with language on all fossil fuels for the negotiated text. We need to see this ambition turn into reality through progressive language on fossil fuel phaseout, with explicit language on coal phaseout and no new coal, in the GST text.
What to look out for
🏭 We’ve already seen countries signalling their recognition that there is no room for new coal plants in a 1.5-degree compatible world, with new PPCA members showing that momentum for coal phase out is growing both in the real world and here at COP. The PPCA’s ‘Call to Action on Coal’ event will bring together government leaders to urge all other countries to support a global agreement on these issues at the COP and talk about the action they are taking to accelerate the coal-to-clean transition. Keep eyes peeled 👀 for new members in major alliances and news on support for developing countries.
⚡ Ambition for the “first fuel” will be boosted by Mission Efficiency this morning, with a Call to Action urging all Parties to double energy efficiency. The event will profile new pledges and 💰 finance from industry leaders, and dig into what it will take to deliver 2x efficiency alongside 3x renewables. The energy efficiency ecosystem is signalling they expect an ambitious outcome from COP28, and stand ready to deliver the doubling goal alongside governments who recognize the strategic potential of wasting less energy. Find out more here.
🏦 As the discussion over fossil fuel phase out becomes real, export credit agencies pledged yesterday to support fossil producer economies in their transition. Watch out for more announcements on fossil fuel producer transition today. More info.
👩🏫 Leading policy experts will be answering questions on all this and more in E3G’s COP28 Energy Day media briefing, today at 17:00 GST / 13:00 GMT / 14:00 CET / 08:00 EST. Register here.
E3G experts are available for background, comment and analysis from Dubai. Please contact our press team at press@e3g.org or +44 (0)7783 787 863, or reach out to E3G experts directly – contact details further down this page.
Updated GST draft text – our key takeaways
The latest draft of the GST negotiating text dropped early this morning. This text has ingredients for ambitious outcomes that would amount to a robust GST response. But it’s far from guaranteed. We now need to see champions ratcheting up the pressure to keep what’s good and expand their coalition of support. It’s all to play for and everything is at stake.
The good
🏭 ”Phase out of fossil fuels” is in the text. Keeping these magic words – along with 3x renewables and 2x energy efficiency – is now a top priority.
📑 The text also has a clear pathway for ratcheting up NDCs to ensure they’re comprehensive and can amount to a 60% reduction by 2035 to keep 1.5C alive – with processes to develop and deliver these through to COP30.
☑ There’s also some positive ideas on loss and damage to complement the fund – ideas like countries taking inventories, or compiling a report on gaps.
What we still need to see
⚠ There’s big rifts throughout the text. Equity and historical responsibility are the words of the day – important things, but what’s key is that the GST drives unity in action and collaboration.
🤔 Where’s the finance? The current options are distant from what we’ve seen over the past days with leaders rallying around financial system transformation. The text recognises the task at hand. More creativity is needed to assign tasks to actors across the financial ecosystem and rally them to make finance more affordable, accessible and available, especially for the energy transition.
💸 Similarly, options on adaptation look incremental with technical plans and policies mentioned. But the real prize would be rapid escalation in adaptation finance and much stronger efforts to get adaptation plans everywhere funded and implemented.
👨💼Tom Evans, E3G Policy Advisor, said:
“With the clock ticking down to the end of the first week, now’s the time for champions of the most ambitious outcomes to keep up the pressure in the negotiations. We need to see governments coming out strongly for priorities like a fossil fuel phase out, more action on adaptation, and driving total finance system transformation to unlock more money for climate. With sharp divisions between Parties, there’s a high chance that we get stuck – so above all, we need to see the UAE Presidency’s game plan for taking this forward next week.”
Norway and Australia confirm commitment to Clean Energy Transfer Partnership
🚨This morning 🇳🇴 and 🇦🇺 confirmed their commitment to the Clean Energy Transition Partnership at the CETP event at #COP28, ending international public finance for fossil fuels – vital new signatories for CETP. https://t.co/GOB2GM1a4S pic.twitter.com/LeYx6n2BJg
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 5, 2023
E3G’s Larissa Gross quoted today in Reuters article on energy efficiency:
“We don’t just need to change the way we generate electricity ⚡️, we need to change the ways we use it 🔌,” tells @larissaogross in @Reuters on the important role of improving #EnergyEfficiency in slashing climate-warming emissions. 👇 https://t.co/Mhjj9NjuCB
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 5, 2023
E3G’s Isabelle de Lovinfosse speaking at the Powering Past Coal event on a just transition in the Southeast Asia region
@idelovinfosse, @e3g highlights the regional cooperation in SEA to exchange knowledge and experience and provide peer-to-peer support; regarding investments, positive examples include agreements to buy #renewables signed with Singapore, which drive investments in the region. pic.twitter.com/89LUWIFRXQ
— Powering Past Coal Alliance (PPCA) (@PastCoal) December 5, 2023
Watch E3G-WRI press briefing on updated GST draft text
E3G’s Camilla Fenning quoted in Climate Change News:
🚨 “Differing views on abatement are causing hostages to fortune & allowing fractures to appear that are not helpful in terms of actually achieving fossil fuel #PhaseOut,” says @CamillaFenning on the need to have a clear definition of “unabated” ⤵️https://t.co/ASGV5UrTg7
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 5, 2023
Watch E3G expert’s analysis of announcements, events and developments at Finance Day
E3G COP28 Finance Day press call
From E3G’s Ignacio Arroniz Velasco:
🇪🇸 Spain joins @beyondoilgas in banning the exploration and production of new fossils—”a historic moment” comments @Nacho_arroniz 👇✨ https://t.co/BtxYOQcntC
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 5, 2023
🛢 Between phasing out and ramping up, energy firmly in play 🔋
As fossil fuel phase out is hotly debated in the negotiations, the support infrastructure for countries to do so is growing. Initiatives to set ambition and collaborate on phasing out fossil fuels are gaining traction. Today, Spain, Kenya and Samoa joined the Beyond Oil and Gas Alliance, which will also support Kenya and Colombia with studies to plan their phase out ($1m each). This comes on top of announcements of Australia and Norway joining 40 other countries and institutions in the pledge to phase out international fossil fuel finance and prioritise clean energy finance instead and 8 export credit agencies pledging to support countries in their efforts to transition away from fossil fuel production.
👩💼Lisa Fischer, E3G Programme Lead says:
“As fossil fuel phase out is hotly debated in the negotiations, the support infrastructure for countries to phase out is growing. This gives a boost towards securing the much-needed text on fossil fuel phase out at this COP.”
🔋 Energy efficiency may not grab the limelight but it always delivers 🔋
💡 Elsewhere on Energy Day, the energy efficiency community showed up with solutions in tow.
✊ Mission Efficiency pledged their support for doubling efficiency by 2030. With a Call to Action and pledges from industry leaders – including the Business Council for Sustainable Development, Climargy, Danfoss, the Energy Efficiency Movement, Metrus, WWF and more – the efficiency community showed up in support of the Global Renewables and Energy Efficiency Pledge backed by 123 countries.
📣 Mission Efficiency is calling on all Parties to include language on energy efficiency, as part of an ambitious energy package, in the final text at COP28. Industry leaders have recognized the strategic opportunity unleashed by energy efficiency and, now, are asking world leaders for a clear signal to double down.
❄ The Cool Coalition launched the Global Cooling Pledge and Global Cooling Watch Report . The Report highlights that cooling equipment is expected to triple by 2050. At the current pace of efficiency gains, this would result in a more than doubling of electricity consumption.
🪫 To avoid this scenario and ensure everyone has access to sustainable cooling in a warming world, the Global Cooling Pledge – with 60+ countries signed on – sets out three strategies:
investing in passive cooling measures;
higher energy efficiency standards for cooling equipment;
a faster phase down of climate-warming refrigerants.
💡 The IEA team has hosted a series of events at COP28 including a Renewables and Energy Efficiency ministerial roundtable. This builds on the IEA’s 2023 Energy Efficiency Market Report, launched on the eve of COP28, which outlines how the world can deliver, on average, an annual 4% improvement rate in energy efficiency by 2030.
🎯 Achieving this goal would not only put the world on track to net zero, accounting for 50% of carbon emission reductions to 2030, but would cut energy bills in advanced economies by one-third.
🏢 Tomorrow, keep an eye out 👀 for the launch of the Buildings Breakthrough championed by 🇫🇷 🇲🇦, an initiative that can drive delivery of the doubling efficiency goal in a challenging and critical sector.
From Kate Levick, E3G’s Associate Director for Sustainable Finance, quoted in an article in Energy Monitor:
"Pledges and commitments at COP clearly signal the market direction of travel and it is not towards more oil and gas,” says @KateLLevick in @EnergyMonitorAI on the greater presence of banks at #COP28 than at previous COPs 👇👇👇https://t.co/vqvWzNGrWM
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 6, 2023
Our summary of today at COP28:
Here's our summary of today at #COP28 – #GST text, @Mission_EE Call to Action, energy finance, #CETP, Energy Transition Council, and @beyondoilgas and @PastCoal announcements. 👇👀#COP28UEA #ClimateAction pic.twitter.com/djB9LeWJkU
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 5, 2023
Today’s coal fact:
The economics are firmly stacked against coal power as the world transitions to #CleanEnergy. The cost of renewable energy technologies—such as solar 🌞 & wind 🌬️ power—has been falling rapidly in recent years, making them a more competitive source of energy than coal. #CoalFacts pic.twitter.com/gNF7oPk9U2
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 4, 2023
Money money money
💸 We have seen substantial climate finance pledges in recent days, including for Loss & Damage, that have helped to build trust and lay the groundwork for constructive negotiations today. Now we need to see this momentum continue into the final text.
What to watch out for:
💰 The Second report of the Independent High-Level Expert Group in Climate Finance written by Nick Stern and Vera Songwe, will build on last year’s calculation of the finance needed for global tradition and make recommendations on how to raise that money.
🌍 Expected to be launched today, the MDBs Country Platforms will be keenly watched to see if this could be an improved country-led financing model which can be customised to national needs but also replicated at scale. Will this model move money faster than the JETPs?
After two days of talks, progress on the Global Stocktake outcome has been slow. More time is needed in closed-door negotiations to see if countries can find areas of agreement, before a new version of the text appears – likely on Tuesday. When it drops, E3G will be on hand to provide rapid reactions.
📢 Hear from E3G experts in our press calls forFinance Day and Energy Day – Sign up to join 👇👇
💸 COP28 Finance Day media briefing, today December 4th, 17:00 GST / 13:00 GMT / 14:00 CET / 08:00 EST. Register here.
💡 COP28 Energy Day media briefing: tomorrow December 5th, 17:00 GST / 13:00 GMT / 14:00 CET / 08:00 EST. Register here.
E3G has a number of events happening this week, starting from today! See the listings in our event flyer.
📑 The Second Report of the Independent High-Level Expert Group in Climate Finance published
The 2022 edition explained that a four-fold increase in climate finance was needed by 2030, to $2.4 trillion/yr. Today’s report contains more such stunning figures, together with recommendations for how to raise the money.
💵 The figures presented by the IHLEG are stark: by 2030 we need x5 increase in concessional finance, a x3 increase in MDB finance, and a x15 increase in private climate finance to EMDEs. Today, investment in EMDEs is in retreat, and finance for adaptation and clean energy are both inadequate.
The IHLEG recommends ‘purposeful’ collaboration to build country platforms, create investment pipelines, and increase fiscal space. Systemic reforms such as reimagining the role of MDBs, and debt relief measures, will be required. The choice to make is between the failure of Paris, or the growth opportunity of the 21st century.
👩💼 Kate Levick, E3G Associate Director and Co-Head of the Transition Plan Taskforce Secretariat, said:
“The new IHLEG report challenges Parties to grip the systemic financial reform agenda, picking up where the Paris Summit earlier this year left off. Collaboration and leadership will be required from all countries if we are to achieve the Paris mitigation and adaptation goals, and finance a just global transition for everyone.”
E3G experts are available for background, comment and analysis from Dubai. Please contact our press team at press@e3g.org or +44 (0)7783 787 863, or reach out to E3G experts directly – contact details further down this page.
E3G events today:
👀 Full list of events with our policy experts’ engagement today! Watch this space! #E3GatCOP28 #COP28UAE pic.twitter.com/UMDCfBfnmy
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 4, 2023
@JureiYada is following a high-level panel on fostering #SustainableFinance for global climate action #transition, quoting Singapore’s Central Bank Chief Ravi Menon @MAS_sg ⤵️https://t.co/Ck4SGqmt8A
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 4, 2023
@cop28 roundtable on leveraging Special Drawing Rights for Climate and Development
Much celebration of the AfDB initiative for rechannelling SDRs through MDBs, especially their open sharing of the technicalities.
AsDB keen to implement – discussing with board and need support! pic.twitter.com/ukLXFUs7J5
— Alex Scott (@AlexScottLondon) December 4, 2023
E3G’s Tom Evans quoted in an article by the Japan Times on Dr Sultan Al Jabber’s fossil fuel phaseout comments:
“This really amps up the pressure on Al Jaber. If COP doesn’t strike a deal on eliminating fossil fuels, many countries will be to blame — but fingers will be pointing at the UAE,” says @TomEvansClimate on #COP28 president’s fossil-fuel #PhaseOut talk ⤵️https://t.co/JBoigt4itL
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 4, 2023
E3G’s Kate Levick and Laura Sabogal Reyes, are at the launch of the 2nd Report of the Independent High-Level Expert Group in Climate Finance:
#IHLEGReportLaunch @miaamormottley: “We need to correct and align the disparity between the level of ambition shown by world leaders here and their representatives at the board level of the @WorldBank and other #MultilateralDevelopmentBanks.”
#COP28 @COP28_UAE @GRI_LSE pic.twitter.com/76Ho4RWtCc
— Laura Sabogal (@laurasabogal) December 4, 2023
@KateLLevick at the launch of the 2nd Report of the Independent High-Level Expert Group in Climate Finance. The figures by the #IHLEG are stark: by 2030, a x5⬆️ in concessional finance, a x3📈 in MDB finance, & a x15⬆ in private climate finance to EMDEs: https://t.co/z1CbkHmQKo
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 4, 2023
Watch E3G expert’s analysis of announcements, events and developments at Finance Day
E3G COP28 Finance Day press call
E3G’s Kate Levick speaking earlier at the Rapid Response to the Global Stocktake:
Happening now at #COP28 – E3G’s @KateLLevick is speaking at @americaisallin & @wwf’s Rapid Response to the Global Stocktake event pic.twitter.com/DB8cf76HPL
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 4, 2023
@KateLLevick makes the case for COP28 to bring the whole finance package together, to set the direction we need to move beyond $100bn to deploying the whole finance system to open up fiscal space, address debt, and mobilise finance to enable countries to invest in climate action pic.twitter.com/AlIcU5syJe
— Alex Scott (@AlexScottLondon) December 4, 2023
🚀 Launched today: MDBs Country Sector Platform Approach
📙 COP27’s Sharm el-Sheikh Implementation Plan marked the first time a COP cover text called MDBs and IFIs to more effectively utilise the breadth of their policy and financial instruments to significantly increase climate ambition.
🔁 Fast-forward one year later to COP28, and the MDBs have now launched their “Country-Sector Platform Approach”, intending to shift from a project-by-project to a programmatic approach to achieve the transformational, systemic change needed.
These platforms aim to:
- Enhance countries’ climate ambitions;
- Accelerate identification of projects and investment needs;
- Mobilise finance from both the public and private sector;
- Enhance transparency and accountability.
- Cross-cutting issues include: just transition, nature and private sector participation.
👂 While it’s too early to judge how successful this proposal will be, it’s clear evidence that the MDBs have been listening. Achieving the transition to a climate-safe world will require all actors (especially the MDBs) working together. Seeing the momentum of the past two years progressively translating to concrete action is cause for optimism.
To succeed (and to crowd in the ever-critical private sector financial flows), these country platforms must:
✅ Remain country-driven (and owned);
✅ Coordinate financial flows, policy work, and technical assistance efforts;
✅ Be based on bankable sectoral project pipelines (which have been agreed nationally amongst all relevant stakeholders).
👩💼 Laura Sabogal Reyes, E3G Senior Policy Advisor, said:
“The launch of the MDBs Country Sector Platform Approach at COP28 represents a defining response by multilateral development banks to COP27’s call for collaborative climate action.
This initiative signals the beginning of a much-needed shift by MDBs from a project-by-project to a systemic approach. Maintaining country ownership and coordinating policy work and technical assistance efforts, beyond just financial flows, will be key to success.”
Here’s our summary of today at COP28:
Today at #COP28 saw the launches of the 2nd #IHLEG climate finance report, the #MDBs country sector platform approach, as well as calls for sovereign debt to be addressed and tax innovation. Here’s our summary.
Keep up to date with our COP28 tracker: https://t.co/cwelXi7K7S pic.twitter.com/QIFdg4Ua4b
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 4, 2023
Today’s coal fact:
Coal-fired power plants are a major source of air pollution, a critical health issue linked to millions of premature deaths annually. Urgent action is needed to shift towards cleaner energy sources. #Coalfacts #COP28 #HealthDay pic.twitter.com/FAQ1NrNwKO
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 3, 2023
From stage to page
🗓 In the wake of world leaders, attention now turns to the main task at hand: the climate talks. As the cacophony of speeches dies down, it’s easier to hear the signal through the noise.
☑ Momentum on loss and damage, renewable energy and financial system reform gives diplomats looking to capitalise on this important progress the vital ammunition they need to take to the negotiations.
🤐 Yet leaders were worryingly quiet on many key issues, especially adaptation finance and the need to accelerate the phase out of fossil fuels.
🎲 Negotiators inherit this decidedly mixed bag. They are now left to their own devices, at least until ministers arrive next week. The key question is now whether or not champions of high ambition feel empowered by their political masters to push harder in negotiating rooms for strong outcomes.
📑 Later today, the UAE will publish their summary of key messages from the high level events on the Global Stocktake. A new text for the GST may land soon too, if not today then perhaps tomorrow. It’s critical that these documents contain clear reference to the most ambitious elements of the overall COP package. Keeping these options on the table through to the end of Week 1 will be a priority.
🔎 Elsewhere at the COP, important matters that so far have not garnered much attention will come to the fore. That includes agreeing a framework for advancing global adaptation efforts and setting up a process to agree the post-2025 successor goal to the $100bn. While technical and at times dry, success in Dubai is more than what leaders have said on the stage. It’s ultimately about what can be translated into text on a page. 📄
Our analysis of how COP28 is going for the UK
🇬🇧 How has #COP28 panned-out for the UK so far? The UK is struggling to align its international ambition with domestic policy. E3G’s @JoeWithIt examines this tension, and why the next 2 weeks are an opportunity to define the UK’s direction on climate.👇👀https://t.co/BjSP8IkTp4
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 3, 2023
E3G’s Kate Levick speaking at today’s LuxFLAG panel on how financial institutions can achieve climate objectives and finance the transition:
Today’s coal fact (click to animate):
#COP28 is bringing major announcements showing progress in the #CoalToClean transition, with🇺🇸🇨🇾🇮🇸🇨🇿🇩🇴🇽🇰🇳🇴 becoming the latest members of @PastCoal. 35 out of 43 OECD/EU countries are now members of the PPCA. Follow progress with our trackers: https://t.co/qukncRy5XE #CoalFacts pic.twitter.com/LkklDJj0Da
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 2, 2023
Day 2 of World Climate Action Summit
🌎 World Climate Action Summit 🌎
Today’s the second day of the World Climate Action Summit. One of the big expected announcements is the launch of the pledge on renewable energy and energy efficiency. This pledge commits countries to work together to triple renewable energy capacity and double the global average annual rate of energy efficiency to 2030, propelling the move to an energy system free of unabated fossil fuels. It encourages collaboration on issues such as supply chains, just transition, expanding financial support and commits to annual progress tracking. Yesterday the EU hinted that their co-led initiative has gathered over 110+ signatures.
👩💼Lisa Fischer, E3G Programme Lead, said:
“The Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency pledge expected to be launched today will show that a vast majority of countries are ready to take more and immediate action on clean energy and preparing our energy systems for fossil fuel phase out. All eyes are now on the COP presidency to show they are listening and to give this its due place in the Global Stocktake discussions.”
✅ Leaders’ speeches thus far have sent plenty of positive signals on the need to accelerate the deployment of renewable energy and energy efficiency technology, but far less so on the equally important parallel need to accelerate action on phasing out fossil fuels.
🤔 Will we see more political capital spent on this vital matter, with countries stepping up to show they’re committed to moving beyond coal, oil and gas?
🇫🇷 France has already floated its proposed coal transition accelerator. More details will land later, including a focus on supporting emerging economies to rapidly retire coal fired power plants and develop renewables. Keep eyes peeled 👀 for any more substantial commitments by countries to ramp up action on coal, oil and gas.
🔎 A key moment to watch will be the GST High Level Event on Mitigation. This roundtable will be a crucial chance for leaders to show that pledges and commitments, while important, ultimately need to be translated into a negotiated outcome for COP28. In other words, much of the hard work in Dubai lies ahead.
The Powering Past Coal Alliance announce 10 new members, including the US
The USA’s membership of @PastCoal is a demonstration of the power of changed realities. Coal isn’t coming back, it is heading for the exit.
The Coal Transition Accelerator initiative launched by France will further support global progress from coal to renewables.
Good news x2!
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 2, 2023
Reaction to the Powering Past Coal announcement from E3G’s Alex Scott and Pieter de Pous:
BREAKING: The Manchin effect is no more
🇺🇸 joins a global alliance to @PastCoal, a result of >20 yrs of grassroot campaigning + IRA support
Together with efforts to phase out gas in heating/industry, oil in transport this is paving the way to phasing out all fossils https://t.co/EJpQ93pkUb
— Pieter de Pous (@Pieter_de_Pous) December 2, 2023
Norway PM just announced that they will join the UK’s clean energy transition partnership (the Glasgow statment to end intl fossil finance) and the Powering Past Coal Alliance.
About time, but also a great boost – 🇳🇴as a major high income fossil producer needs to lead the pack.
— Alex Scott (@AlexScottLondon) December 2, 2023
E3G’s Larissa Gross is tracking what COP28 World Leaders say on the target to double progress on energy efficiency. Most recently 🇩🇪 Chancellor Scholz supports 2x efficiency and 3x renewables and FFPO – but misses the mark on gas. Follow along here:
📑 I’ll be tracking what World Leaders say @COP28_UAE on the first fuel and critical #COP28 target: 2x energy #efficiency.
Because there is no time, or energy, to waste.
Follow 🧵 for updates. @CarbonBrief @guardianeco @fionaharvey @DrSimEvans @dpcarrington @Mission_EE @IEA
— Larissa Gross (@larissaogross) November 30, 2023
‼️ *3x renewable energy and 2x energy efficiency pledge announced, together with major commitments to coal phaseout*
🏭 *Commitments to coal phase-out*
🇺🇸 Real-world trends away from coal are increasingly reflected in diplomatic commitments and pledges. The *US joining the Powering Past Coal Alliance*, alongside six countries, is the most significant diplomatic statement made to date, amounting as it does to a Paris-aligned coal phaseout commitment.
🇫🇷 The French-led *Coal Transition Accelerator* is a positive step forward, with the new Coal Transition Commission established to develop solutions to unlock new sources of public and private financing for the just transition of the existing coal fleet.
🤸 However, investment in enabling coal power plants to be more *‘flexible’* could undermine the intention of this initiative if it is used as a means to delay coal phase-out rather than accelerate it. The Coal Transition Commission should emphasise the need for strong regulatory and carbon pricing frameworks that ensure coal power plants are on a phase out pathway. This should only allow coal flexibility investments as an exception, not the rule.
⚡ Tripling renewable energy and doubling energy efficiency pledge
🏃♂️ The scale of commitment to this pledge, with 118 countries, across continents and differing national circumstances, demonstrates unstoppable and collaborative momentum for a global clean energy transition.
🇨🇳🇮🇳 But it’s a missed opportunity that China and India – strong leaders in both renewable energy and energy efficiency (including commitments at G20) – felt unable to sign up thus far.
➡️ The pledge specifics on RE and EE now need to transfer to the COP28 decision text itself, including agreed pathways for delivery, such as finance and technical support. It’s notable that by virtue of signing the pledge, these 118 countries also recognise that energy systems need to be free of unabated fossil fuels ahead of or by 2050, including phase down of unabated coal power and an end to investment in unabated new coal plants. These also need to be agreed in the COP28 decision text.
🧑💼Leo Roberts, E3G Programme Lead, said: “Delivering the global energy transition, and the huge emissions reductions and economic benefits it will bring, requires significant progress at both ends of the spectrum – accelerating the phase out of coal, oil and gas, and rapidly increasing the deployment of renewables. The US joining the PPCA, thereby committing to phase out the dirtiest fossil fuel by 2030, is a huge step towards the former. And 118 countries supporting the call for tripling renewable energy and doubling energy efficiency does the latter. What we need to see now is these groundbreaking political commitments translated into the COP28 negotiating text.”
👩💼 Larissa Gross, E3G Programme Lead, said: “Getting to a 1.5°C-aligned global pathway doesn’t just mean changing the way we generate electricity, we need to change the ways we use it. Doubling energy efficiency by 2030 would save twice the amount of energy consumed in the EU last year. This is why it’s so important that the Pledge also contains reference to doubling energy efficiency, which will be absolutely necessary to deliver at the pace and scale needed.”
❌ But while the renewable energy and energy efficiency world provides solutions, the oil and gas world hides behind it with poor-quality sticking plasters. 🎁 The UAE presidency has packaged up significant progress on phasing out coal, and rapidly increasing deployment of renewable energy and energy efficiency technologies, with a weak Oil and Gas Decarbonisation Alliance that ignores the need to phase down fossil fuel production or set pre-2030 methane abatement milestones. The methane finance initiative is welcome, but insufficient: eliminating three-quarters of energy methane emissions by 2030 would cost the industry only 2% of its over $6trn revenue from last year. In this context, the $1bn pledged is vastly insufficient.
👩💼 Lisa Fischer, E3G Programme Lead, said: “The theme of today: the renewable energy and energy efficiency world provides solutions, the oil and gas world hides behind it with poor quality sticking plasters. The Presidency may hope this will distract from the need to discuss the phase out of fossil fuels in negotiations, but calls from leaders and countries across the globe such as from Colombia, the European Union, Australia, Kenya and many others have been strong and cannot be ignored.”
🏭 Commitments to coal phase-out
🇺🇸 Real-world trends away from coal are increasingly reflected in diplomatic commitments and pledges. The US joining the Powering Past Coal Alliance, alongside six countries, is the most significant diplomatic statement made to date, amounting as it does to a Paris-aligned coal phaseout commitment.
🇫🇷 The French-led Coal Transition Accelerator is a positive step forward, with the new Coal Transition Commission established to develop solutions to unlock new sources of public and private financing for the just transition of the existing coal fleet.
🤸 However, investment in enabling coal power plants to be more ‘flexible’ could undermine the intention of this initiative if it is used as a means to delay coal phase-out rather than accelerate it. The Coal Transition Commission should emphasise the need for strong regulatory and carbon pricing frameworks that ensure coal power plants are on a phase out pathway. This should only allow coal flexibility investments as an exception, not the rule.
⚡ Tripling renewable energy and doubling energy efficiency pledge
🏃♂️ The scale of commitment to this pledge, with 118 countries, across continents and differing national circumstances, demonstrates *unstoppable and collaborative momentum* for a global clean energy transition.
🇨🇳🇮🇳 But it’s a missed opportunity that China and India – strong leaders in both renewable energy and energy efficiency (including commitments at G20) – felt unable to sign up thus far.
➡️ The pledge specifics on RE and EE now need to transfer to the COP28 decision text itself, including agreed pathways for delivery, such as finance and technical support. It’s notable that by virtue of signing the pledge, these 118 countries also recognise that energy systems need to be free of unabated fossil fuels ahead of or by 2050, including phase down of unabated coal power and an end to investment in unabated new coal plants. These also need to be agreed in the COP28 decision text.
👨💼Leo Roberts, E3G Programme Lead, said:
🎁 The UAE presidency has packaged up significant progress on phasing out coal, and rapidly increasing deployment of renewable energy and energy efficiency technologies, with a weak Oil and Gas Decarbonisation Alliance that ignores the need to phase down fossil fuel production or set pre-2030 methane abatement milestones. The methane finance initiative is welcome, but insufficient: eliminating three-quarters of energy methane emissions by 2030 would cost the industry only 2% of its over $6trn revenue from last year. In this context, the $1bn pledged is vastly insufficient.
👩💼 Lisa Fischer, E3G Programme Lead, said:
Norway announced today that they have joined the Clean Energy Transition Partnership – committing to ending international public support for fossil fuels. This major announcement brings CETP up to 40 signatories and counting!
Read more on CETP: cleanenergytransitionpartnership.org
Analysis of COP28 Presidency’s Finance Framework (announced yesterday) from E3G’s Kate Levick. Framework should support international finance reform being discussed in the round under UNFCCC, and have backing from a globally representative group of major economies. Read more:
24 hours on from the launch of the #COP28UAE Presidency’s Finance Framework, here are some @e3g thoughts on the contribution that this Framework makes to accelerating global momentum for reforming international financial architecture 🌏💰🏗️👇
— Kate Levick (@KateLLevick) December 2, 2023
“As always, change happens slowly and then all at once.” E3G’s Chris Littlecott recaps the two decades of work leading up to today’s historic moment of the US joining the Powering Past Coal Alliance:
The announcement that the USA has today joined Powering @PastCoal Alliance is an historical moment, made possible by concerted campaign efforts over 2 decades.
A short thread:
— Chris Littlecott (@chrislittlecott) December 2, 2023
The Global Stocktake can increase our understanding of what loss and damage has and will happen – and therefore the L&D finance and resources needed. Tom Evans at CAN International’s COP28 press conference on the GST, fossil fuels and a just transition:
1/2. “There has been a lot of focus on the #LossAndDamage Fund. We now need finance to fill it. What more can we do to secure finance for #LossAndDamage at scale?” @TomEvansClimate of @E3G points to the #GlobalStocktake as a way to meet the scale of the needs for #LossAndDamage. pic.twitter.com/iyGDPzs2E3
— Loss and Damage Collaboration (L&DC) (@LossandDamage) December 2, 2023
Expert analysis of the World Climate Action Summit:
Watch E3G experts Alex Scott, Tom Evans and Leo Robert’s analysis of announcements at the World Climate Action Summit to date, and how this has set the stage for the rest of COP.
Today’s coal fact:
#CoalFacts | China dominates planned global coal capacity, representing 70% ‼️ 🇮🇳🇧🇩🇮🇩🇱🇦🇰🇿🇹🇷🇿🇼🇵🇰🇷🇺🇻🇳 together account for 25%, while 22 countries make up the remaining 5%. 👇 pic.twitter.com/Oi7648okXk
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 1, 2023
Day 1 of World Climate Action Summit
🌎 World Climate Action Summit 🌎
After the historic outcome on loss and damage funding yesterday – a fitting tribute to our lost colleagues Saleemul Huq and Pete Betts – COP enters chaos phase today with concurrent negotiations and world leaders events.
Leaders set the tone for how ambitious negotiators should be, so what they say matters. Yesterday the COP28 President and the UNFCCC Executive Secretary were clear that this COP needs to agree decisive action.
👩💼 Alex Scott, E3G Programme Lead, said:
“The WMO just confirmed that 2023 has broken heat records. We don’t want COP28 to be the COP that breaks the Paris Agreement. With the global stocktake giving world leaders a collective C- on their contributions to achieving the Paris goals, we need them to set the stage for ambitious COP28 decisions on accelerating emissions cuts, transitioning from fossil fuels to renewables faster, and ramping up financing especially for dealing with the impacts of climate change.”
What to watch out for today
🗣️ We expect several flashy global leaders’ pledges – including ones led by the UAE on food systems and on finance. The latter’s a key chance to show how leaders are targeting a dramatic overhaul of the financial system – a hot topic throughout 2023 so far.
🇩🇪 Germany is likely to add flesh to the bones of the Climate Club. Born out of their G7 Presidency last year, it has evolved into a joint play co-led with Chile and over 30 members aiming to drive industrial decarbonisation, starting with driving up standards in steel and cement sectors. But to take off, it must deliver real finance for developing countries – or else risk locking them out of the transition. E3G’s trade expert is on hand to help interpret.
🆕 But leaders need to back up any flashy declarations with new policy announcements and new finance.
💰 With the Loss and Damage fund operationalised, the next area to look out for is the tally of fund pledges – at least $400m USD was pledged yesterday. The EU foreshadowed pledges from the Commission and member states to be detailed today and tomorrow.
💸 But money is needed elsewhere too – keep an eye out for whether governments make pledges to other important funds such as the GCF 👀🇺🇸 and the Adaptation Fund.
📄 On the negotiations, all eyes on the global stocktake room where we expect to see a draft text, or at least building blocks towards consolidating countries’ positions in writing.
📲 E3G experts are available for background, comment and analysis from Dubai. Please contact our press team at press@e3g.org or +44 (0)7783 787 863, or reach out to E3G experts directly – contact details further down this page.
From Larissa Gross, Programme Lead in E3G’s Clean Economy team
📑 I’ll be tracking what World Leaders say @COP28_UAE on the first fuel and critical #COP28 target: 2x energy #efficiency.
Because there is no time, or energy, to waste.
Follow 🧵 for updates. @CarbonBrief @guardianeco @fionaharvey @DrSimEvans @dpcarrington @Mission_EE @IEA
— Larissa Gross (@larissaogross) November 30, 2023
From Kate Levick, E3G’s Associate Director for Sustainable Finance:
UAE opens Leaders segment of COP28 with a bang, announcing a $30 billion climate fund. No detail yet on how it will work to mobilise finance globally including to EMDEs, although some news outlets have already named private investment firms said to be involved.
— Kate Levick (@KateLLevick) December 1, 2023
From Alex Scott, E3G’s Climate Diplomacy and Geopolitics Programme Lead:
@COP28_UAE launching a melding of the agendas on transforming finance architecture: from Bridgetown Initiative to Paris Pact and Nairobi Declaration.
It’s time to make climate finance
✅AVAILABLE
✅ACCESSIBLE
✅AFFORDABLEAnd to capitalise MDBs to do their jobs better. pic.twitter.com/Ki5NgoRtwX
— Alex Scott (@AlexScottLondon) December 1, 2023
From Nick Mabey OBE, Founding Director and co-CEO of E3G:
COP President Al Jabar says that “progress is being made on building trust” between developed & developing countries with new commitments on L&D, IFI reform & SDRs reallocation
Commits $200m of UAE SDRs to @IMFNews Resilience & Sustainability Trust Fund pic.twitter.com/8nkmv7ldGQ
— Nick Mabey (@Mabeytweet) December 1, 2023
🇻🇳 Vietnamese JETP Resource Mobilisation Plan announced 🇻🇳
🏭 The Resource Mobilisation Plan sets out the implementation of the JETP political declaration agreed in December 2022, between the Government of Vietnam and the International Partners Group (IPG) including Canada, Denmark, the European Union, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Norway, the United Kingdom, and the United States. The plan identifies the financing needs (for investment and technical assistance) and policy reform needs.
🇻🇳 The RMP was developed by the Vietnamese Ministry of Environment with very little transparency or inclusivity, over a very short period of time, without formal public consultation. Unlike the other JETPs, the Vietnam JETP secretariat is hosted and managed by the Vietnamese Ministry of Environment. Working groups were meant to be set up and led by other Ministries, but they have not started yet.
💬 This process and structure mean that while the IPG was consulted on the content of the RMP, they and GFANZ (a key provider of private finance) ultimately had very limited influence over the scope and contents of the RMP.
⚙ The JETPs are a prime example of the essential mechanisms needed to build confidence amongst major emerging economies that the international community will provide and leverage financial support for their domestic energy transitions. This makes it all the more worrying that, together with the recently launched Indonesian Comprehensive Investment and Policy Plan (CIPP), two of the three live JETPs are resting on pathways that summarily fail to deliver a transition away from coal power.
⤴ Considerably more needs to be done to raise climate ambition and demonstrate to the Global South that the G7 and other donor nations are willing to provide essential financial and technical support needed for them to deliver their domestic energy transitions.
👨💼 Leo Roberts, E3G Programme Lead, said:
“It’s great to see the JETPs continuing to turn diplomatic momentum into concrete investment plans, but there are two major reasons to be concerned about this announcement.
Firstly, the ongoing constraints to civil society space in Vietnam have not only undermined the level of ambition in this plan, but created a real threat to its delivery. Support from local business, research and academia, and wider civil society, will be fundamental to building support for actually implementing Vietnam’s energy transition.
Secondly, the investment plan is no longer the pathway to replacing coal power with clean alternatives that the JETP initially promised. Instead, it focuses on expensive or unproven technologies like co-firing, and on keeping coal plants online, but using them ‘flexibly’ rather than closing them early, directly undermining the case for new renewables.”
From Camilla Fenning, E3G Programme Lead:
#COP28 Pres said “Tripling renewables is how we transition away from unabated #coal” Good to see #x3Renewables ambition. But we can’t just prioritise the new without ending the old – it won’t work and is too slow. Need ambition on fossil phase out eg end new coal plants now.@e3g
— Camilla Fenning (@CamillaFenning) December 1, 2023
What happened today at #COP28?
Here’s our summary of today’s key developments.
Keep up to date with what’s going on through our COP28 tracker: https://t.co/cwelXi7K7S #Dubai #ClimateAction #COP28UAE pic.twitter.com/Jc4gA0av1Z
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) December 1, 2023
Today’s coal fact:
#Coal is the single largest source of global greenhouse gas emissions, accounting for about 33% of all emissions. No new unabated coal-fired power plants can be built if we are to have a chance of limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius. (Source: @IPCC) #CoalFacts pic.twitter.com/kE5DW7hHqA
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) November 30, 2023
The 28th @UNFCCC conference opens today ‼️ For the next two weeks, govts & orgs at #COP28 will need to agree on bolder actions to close the emissions gap, protect the most climate vulnerable & accelerate financial system transformation.
Our first take ⤵️https://t.co/DmqCeW6QFl
— E3G – Third Generation Environmentalism (@e3g) November 30, 2023
‼ Loss and Damage fund operationalised ‼
After a year of intense negotiations, the Loss and Damage Fund has been gavelled through on Day 1 of COP28.
🤝 Early gavelling of the fund is a positive start to the summit, showing how countries can unite and collaborate in the spirit of compromise. This is a historic moment for the battle for recognition of loss and damage.
💸 However, it is an imperfect text and there is still a long road ahead. The fund should be set up quickly, given developing countries conceded to it being hosted under the World Bank. The World Bank will have to respond on whether it can host the fund under the conditions established by the decision text. If not, a new host will have to be identified and proposed. Additionally, a secretariat will need to be set up. Perhaps even more importantly, developed countries and others in a position to do so will have to come through and pledge their financial support to the fund.
This is why we expect for all of these arrangements to be ready to be approved only by COP29. After that we need to see the money start flowing to those climate vulnerable countries and communities who need it most.
👩💼 Ana Mulio Alvarez, E3G Researcher, said:
“Today is a historic moment in the fight for acknowledging and addressing Loss and Damage, which has been ongoing since the very first COP. It sets the tone for the rest of the COP that countries can and must come together for ambitious agreements in the spirit of compromise.
Having this success to kick start COP28 leaves time to focus on a strong Global Stocktake response, so that we can course correct and meet the goal of limiting global temperature increase to 1.5°C.”
E3G experts are available for background, comment and analysis from Dubai. Please contact our press team at press@e3g.org or +44 (0)7783 787 863, or reach out to E3G experts directly – contact details further down this page.
From Alex Scott, E3G’s Climate Diplomacy and Geopolitics Programme Lead:
Governance recommendations on the #lossanddamage fund and funding arrangements gavelled through at @COP28_UAE on Day 1!
Historic example of global cooperation – extremely rare for consensus on such a big issue so early.
Spotlight now on filling the fund! 💰 https://t.co/e8uVKkAnj6
— Alex Scott (@AlexScottLondon) November 30, 2023
You can see a complete list of E3G events on our COP28 events flyer.
9 December: Panel discussion on MDB-NDB climate finance flows and climate mainstreaming
- Time: 16:00-18:00
- Venue: IDFC Pavilion & livestream – Cop 28 IDFC – IDFC
- Organisers: E3G, CPI, IDFC
- Description: Presentation of joint report authored with CPI on MDB-NDB climate on-lending and climate mainstreaming
10 December: Advancing International Cooperation to Implement Just Energy Transitions in Coal Regions
- Time: 14:00-15:00 GST (Dubai)
- Venue: Just Transition Pavilion, COP28 Blue Zone
- Organisers: International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD), Southeast Asia Energy Transition Partnership (SEA ETP), Powering Past Coal Alliance (PPCA)
11 December: A Call for Urgent Climate Action – A Civil Society Dialogue Between China, Europe, and The U.S.
- Time: 14:00-17:20 (Dubai)
- Venue: Multimedia Hall, China Pavilion EXPO 2020, COP28 Green Zone
- Description: This civil society dialogue will discuss the progress made by China, the European Union and the United States in addressing climate change, including the financial and technological support provided by these parties to low-income developing countries, and how civil society cooperation can contribute to addressing the key issues highlighted at COP28.
- Hosted by Peking University Institute of Energy, Natural Resources Defense Council, E3G, iGDP
- E3G speakers:
- Byford Tsang, Senior Policy Advisor
- Lisa Fisher, Programme Leader, Clean Energy System
- Laura Sabogal Reyes, Senior Policy Advisor
E3G experts are available for in-person background, quotes, and analysis
Nick Mabey OBE (EN), co-CEO and co-founder, (climate diplomacy, foreign policy, macroeconomics)
m: +44 (0)7949 768 771 | nick.mabey@e3g.org
Alden Meyer (EN), Senior Associate, (UNFCCC and G7/G20 dynamics, multilateral climate and clean energy diplomacy, mitigation ambition, climate finance, US policy and politics)
m: +1-202-378-8619 | alden.meyer@e3g.org
Tom Evans (EN), E3G Policy Advisor, (climate ambition, the Global Stocktake, UNFCCC processes and COP28, climate diplomacy & geopolitics)
m: +44 (0) 7931 317 327 | tom.evans@e3g.org
Alex Scott (EN), E3G Programme Lead, (climate diplomacy, climate finance, adaptation finance, loss and damage, COP28)
m: +44 7482 750760 | alex.scott@e3g.org
Ana Mulio Alvarez (EN, ES), E3G Researcher, (UNFCCC, loss and damage, adaptation)
m: +32 490 000 514 / +34 639 916 760 | ana.mulio@e3g.org
Leo Roberts (EN), E3G Programme Lead, (JETPs, coal phase-out, power sector transitions particularly Global South)
m: +44 (0) 7908 664 334 | leo.roberts@e3g.org
Anusha Mata (EN), E3G Senior Policy Advisor, (fossil fuel transition, coal phase-out)
m: +44 (0)7817 560 411 | anusha.mata@e3g.org
Kate Levick (EN), E3G Associate Director and Co-Head of the Transition Plan Taskforce Secretariat, (International and UK sustainable finance, public and private sector finance, financial initiatives, climate disclosure, transition planning, financial regulation, non state actor accountability)
m: +44 (0) 7860 861225 | kate.levick@e3g.org
Jurei Yada (EN, FR, PL, JP), E3G Programme Lead, (EU sustainable finance, ESG, EU regulations including sustainability reporting standards)
m: +32 (0)4 92 11 38 68 | jurei.yada@e3g.org
Tsvetelina Kuzmanova (EN, BG, KR), E3G Senior Policy Advisor, (EU sustainable finance, taxonomies, mandatory disclosure regulation)
m: +32 (0) 483 989 651 | tsvetelina.kuzmanova@e3g.org
Laura Sabogal Reyes (EN, ES, DE), E3G Senior Policy Advisor, (Public banks – multilateral development banks, bilateral development banks – Paris Alignment, climate finance, nature finance, innovative financial mechanisms, E3G Public Bank Climate Tracker Matrix website)
m: +49 160 96466368 | laura.sabogal@e3g.org
Dileimy Orozco (EN, ES), E3G Senior Policy Advisor, (development banks and private finance, green recovery, debt burden, IFA reforms)
m: +44 7876 301 615 | dile.orozco@e3g.org
Lisa Fischer (EN, DE), E3G Programme Lead, (gas, energy diplomacy & geopolitics, renewables, fossil fuels)
m: +44 (0)7710 167 754 | lisa.fischer@e3g.org
Ignacio Arroniz Velasco (EN, FR, ES), E3G Senior Policy Advisor, (EU climate diplomacy and foreign policy, trade & climate, climate & security nexus)
m: +34 (0) 689 768 246 / +32 (0) 497 491 492 | ignacio.arroniz@e3g.org
Byford Tsang (EN, CN), E3G Senior Policy Advisor, (China, including domestic and international climate pledges, EU-China relations)
m: +44 (0) 7508 759 872 | byford.tsang@e3g.org
Johanna Lehne (EN, DE), E3G Programme Lead, (Industry decarbonisation including steel, industrial policy, circular economy, built environment, trade policy)
m: +44 (0) 770 848 6383 | johanna.lehne@e3g.org
Jonny Peters (EN), E3G Senior Policy Advisor, (trade, CBAM)
m: +44 (0) 7954 201 039 | jonny.peters@e3g.org
Larissa Gross (EN), E3G Programme Lead, (sustainable cooling, clean heat, energy efficiency)
m: +44 (0) 7712 537 874 | larissa.gross@e3g.org
Maria Pastukhova (EN, DE, JA, RU), E3G Senior Policy Advisor, (international energy diplomacy, geopolitics of the energy transition, methane)
m: +49 (0) 160 901 67735 | maria.pastukhova@e3g.org
Camilla Fenning (EN), E3G Programme Lead, (coal phase-out, international coal transition, financing coal exit, fossil fuel transition)
m: +44 7961 047 835 | camilla.fenning@e3g.org
Franklin Steves (EN, RU, SP, FR), E3G Senior Policy Advisor, (international financial architecture reform, Bridgetown Initiative, CAF reform, climate finance)
m: +44 7484 815 434 | franklin.steves@e3g.org
Ronan Palmer (EN), E3G Associate Director, (financing the clean economy, Bridgetown Initiative, debt, fiscal space, public banks, international development)
m: +353 89 491 7948 | ronan.palmer@e3g.org
Sima Kammourieh (EN, FR, DE, AR), E3G Programme Lead, (international financial regulation and standards, G7/G20 finance ministers)
m: +49 (0) 160 9596 4443 | sima.kammourieh@e3g.org
Heather McKay (EN), E3G Senior Policy Advisor, (UK sustainable finance, the UK Net Zero Strategy)
m: +44 7707 275 359 | heather.mckay@e3g.org
Juan Pablo Osornio (EN, DE, SP, FR), E3G Programme Lead, (international rules, standards and regulations for global decarbonisation)
m: +49 (0) 151 1676 2877 | juanpablo.osornio@e3g.org